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What Forex And Stock Brokers Can Learn From 1929

September 1929 felt the first shock waves of
the earthquake that was to topple and destroyThe market never knew what hit it. No one can
the  great  bull  market  of  the  Twenties.ever say what subtle shift in the thinking of
thousands of stockholders across the nation
Unheeding, still cheering each other on withchanged the eager scramble for the sunlit
the clichés of the new prosperity, thesummits of September into a stampede back
speculators plunged in again on the premise,down the slopes. Perhaps it was no one thing,
true so often in the past, that every dipand perhaps if it was, it is not important;
heralded  a  rise  to an even higher plateau.jitters were evident on many occasions before
the  panic.
This time they were wrong. The market danced
erratically for a while, but over-all it wasBut whatever may have pulled the trigger, the
losing ground, losing momentum, failing tofact remains that the market was powerless to
show the resilience on which the nation sowithstand the blow. Surveys of the wreckage
desperately depended. By the third week ofpointed up the unhealthy use of credit that
October,  the  Crash  was  in  being.had so disastrously accelerated the collapse
when it came, pointed up the manipulative
Even today the events of the week culminatingoperations that had gone unchecked, pointed
in the terrible Tuesday that was October 29up the inadequate information available about
make sad and distressful reading. The onlylisted  securities.
way to suggest them is in terms of the great
natural disasters: the avalanche, the tidalHad none of these abuses existed, it is still
wave, the volcanic eruption. And the humanlikely that the Crash, as the signal of a
response was equally fundamental: terror,general economic collapse, would have
panic,  despair,  and here and there courage.occurred. But it can be argued that the
market would not have slid so far or so fast
When it came, the Crash utterly reversed theif, for instance, more stock holders had
pattern of the times. Up became down, highowned their shares outright and been able to
became low, rich became poor, success becameride  out  the  storm.
failure, prosperity became depression. It
happened, too, with bewildering speed, andThe road back was long and hard. Principal
nothing  checked  the  descent.steps toward recovery were the Securities
Acts of 1933 and 1934, and the establishment
It will be remembered that basic to allof the Securities and Exchange Commission, a
market action is the trade, the negotiatedgovernment agency, to administer them.
transaction between buyer and seller. WithFinancial experts can see loopholes and
the Crash, the inconceivable occurred:deficiencies in the acts and some Wall
suddenly, the buyers vanished. Suddenly,Streeters squirm under the onus of Federal
everyone was a seller. From all over theregulation, but it is generally acknowledged
nation, almost as if on signal, the ordersthat tighter control of the securities market
poured in: sell, sell, sell. Thousands uponwas essential, if only to restore public
thousands of shares were offered at theconfidence  after  the  debacle.
market-and  there  was  no  market.
Actually, the provisions of the acts can also
Down tumbled issue after issue from the proudbe  viewed  as  not  stringent  enough.
heights which supposedly were only foothills
of  the  heights  to  come.They require, first, that all new securities
offered to the public, with some exceptions
The pace of the market accelerated beyond(Federal and municipal bonds, national and
human comprehension. The ticker lagged bystate bank stocks, and, in some cases, issues
hours. Prices dove vertically down, 10, 20,under $300,000, to name a few), be registered
30, 40 points. Inexorably, the great downwardwith the SEC. Registration, it should be
pressure grew. Margin calls went out, andnoted, does not make the SEC an arbiter of a
went unanswered by thousands of speculators,security's worth, and does not in any way
big and small, whose entire fortunes wereconstitute  an  endorsement.
tied up in the stocks now diving through the
floor. Facing the loss of the billions theyIt is merely a procedure to place on the
had loaned, the brokers threw the collateralpublic record a full and fair account of the
stock onto the market for whatever it wouldfinancial, technical, commercial, and legal
bring, thus swelling the floodtide ofcondition  of  the  issuing  company.
unwanted  securities.
Capitalization, earnings, compensation of
There was no safety anywhere. No stock wasofficers, stockholdings of officers or
strong enoughto withstand the hammering. Theoptions and other benefits available to them
best and bravest names in American industry-all this and more must be disclosed. As
were in full retreat, like any overblownanyone who has ever plowed through a stock
utilities holding company, like any cat andprospectus knows, the material is often
dog.difficult to digest, but it is complete, and
no one need feel he is buying a pig in a
The huge investment trusts, commonly regardedpoke. The SEC's only responsibility is to see
as financial Gibraltars impregnable againstthat the information submitted is adequate
the waves of adversity, were crumbling likeand  not  misleading.
the rest. Then" reserves, supposedly a
cushion under a falling market, wereThe acts also prohibit all manipulations,
insufficient and ineffective. They, too, weresuch as pools, fake sales, or any artificial
dumping.trading which, by creating the appearance of
activity, stimulates buying or selling by
At the end of the day, 16,410,030 shares hadothers.
changed hands at fantastically lower prices.
And the end was not yet. On through NovemberFinally, they control, through the Federal
the slide continued. Amer Tel & Tel fellReserve Board, the flow of credit into the
to 197, a loss of 138 points. Steel droppedsecurities market. The Board must approve the
to 150, a loss of 129 points. New Yorksource from which a broker borrows, and it is
Central sank to 160, a loss of 96 points.responsible  for  setting  margin  rates.
General Motors fell to 36, a loss of 145
points. The values represented in the leadingThere are other powers which the SEC may
stock averages were cut in half. The Crashexercise "in the public interest," but by and
wiped out all the gains so spiritedly madelarge the registration procedure, the ban on
since 1924-and more. In 1930 the marketmanipulation, and the control of credit have
twitched feebly, trying to get off its back,been the principal areas of government
but  eventually  sank  even  lower.intervention  to  assure  an  orderly market.
In 1931, it hit bottom, plumbing new depthsAt the same time, the exchanges-the New York
that  made  even  the  1929  lows  look good.Stock Exchange in particular-have undertaken
to police themselves more rigorously.
A doleful story, a dark chapter in financialRequirements for listing a stock on the
history. Even today, veterans of the StreetExchange  have  tightened  up.
speak of it wryly and with respect, like the
survivors of a memorable battle or a fire atToday we can also use software to help us
sea. The market, of course, did not cause thepredict price movements with regard to shares
Crash.and the Forex.



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