What Forex And Stock Brokers Can Learn From 1929

September 1929 felt the first shock waves of thecourse, did not cause the Crash.
earthquake that was to topple and destroy the greatThe market never knew what hit it. No one can ever
bull market of the Twenties.say what subtle shift in the thinking of thousands of
Unheeding, still cheering each other on with thestockholders across the nation changed the eager
clichés of the new prosperity, the speculatorsscramble for the sunlit summits of September into a
plunged in again on the premise, true so often in thestampede back down the slopes. Perhaps it was no
past, that every dip heralded a rise to an even higherone thing, and perhaps if it was, it is not important;
plateau.jitters were evident on many occasions before the
This time they were wrong. The market dancedpanic.
erratically for a while, but over-all it was losingBut whatever may have pulled the trigger, the fact
ground, losing momentum, failing to show theremains that the market was powerless to withstand
resilience on which the nation so desperatelythe blow. Surveys of the wreckage pointed up the
depended. By the third week of October, the Crashunhealthy use of credit that had so disastrously
was in being.accelerated the collapse when it came, pointed up
Even today the events of the week culminating inthe manipulative operations that had gone unchecked,
the terrible Tuesday that was October 29 make sadpointed up the inadequate information available about
and distressful reading. The only way to suggestlisted securities.
them is in terms of the great natural disasters: theHad none of these abuses existed, it is still likely that
avalanche, the tidal wave, the volcanic eruption. Andthe Crash, as the signal of a general economic
the human response was equally fundamental: terror,collapse, would have occurred. But it can be argued
panic, despair, and here and there courage.that the market would not have slid so far or so fast
When it came, the Crash utterly reversed theif, for instance, more stock holders had owned their
pattern of the times. Up became down, high becameshares outright and been able to ride out the storm.
low, rich became poor, success became failure,The road back was long and hard. Principal steps
prosperity became depression. It happened, too, withtoward recovery were the Securities Acts of 1933
bewildering speed, and nothing checked the descent.and 1934, and the establishment of the Securities and
It will be remembered that basic to all market actionExchange Commission, a government agency, to
is the trade, the negotiated transaction betweenadminister them. Financial experts can see loopholes
buyer and seller. With the Crash, the inconceivableand deficiencies in the acts and some Wall Streeters
occurred: suddenly, the buyers vanished. Suddenly,squirm under the onus of Federal regulation, but it is
everyone was a seller. From all over the nation,generally acknowledged that tighter control of the
almost as if on signal, the orders poured in: sell, sell,securities market was essential, if only to restore
sell. Thousands upon thousands of shares werepublic confidence after the debacle.
offered at the market-and there was no market.Actually, the provisions of the acts can also be
Down tumbled issue after issue from the proudviewed as not stringent enough.
heights which supposedly were only foothills of theThey require, first, that all new securities offered to
heights to come.the public, with some exceptions (Federal and
The pace of the market accelerated beyond humanmunicipal bonds, national and state bank stocks, and,
comprehension. The ticker lagged by hours. Pricesin some cases, issues under $300,000, to name a
dove vertically down, 10, 20, 30, 40 points.few), be registered with the SEC. Registration, it
Inexorably, the great downward pressure grew.should be noted, does not make the SEC an arbiter
Margin calls went out, and went unanswered byof a security's worth, and does not in any way
thousands of speculators, big and small, whose entireconstitute an endorsement.
fortunes were tied up in the stocks now divingIt is merely a procedure to place on the public record
through the floor. Facing the loss of the billions theya full and fair account of the financial, technical,
had loaned, the brokers threw the collateral stockcommercial, and legal condition of the issuing
onto the market for whatever it would bring, thuscompany.
swelling the floodtide of unwanted securities.Capitalization, earnings, compensation of officers,
There was no safety anywhere. No stock wasstockholdings of officers or options and other
strong enoughto withstand the hammering. The bestbenefits available to them -all this and more must be
and bravest names in American industry were in fulldisclosed. As anyone who has ever plowed through a
retreat, like any overblown utilities holding company,stock prospectus knows, the material is often
like any cat and dog.difficult to digest, but it is complete, and no one need
The huge investment trusts, commonly regarded asfeel he is buying a pig in a poke. The SEC's only
financial Gibraltars impregnable against the waves ofresponsibility is to see that the information submitted
adversity, were crumbling like the rest. Then"is adequate and not misleading.
reserves, supposedly a cushion under a falling market,The acts also prohibit all manipulations, such as pools,
were insufficient and ineffective. They, too, werefake sales, or any artificial trading which, by creating
dumping.the appearance of activity, stimulates buying or selling
At the end of the day, 16,410,030 shares hadby others.
changed hands at fantastically lower prices. And theFinally, they control, through the Federal Reserve
end was not yet. On through November the slideBoard, the flow of credit into the securities market.
continued. Amer Tel & Tel fell to 197, a loss ofThe Board must approve the source from which a
138 points. Steel dropped to 150, a loss of 129 points.broker borrows, and it is responsible for setting
New York Central sank to 160, a loss of 96 points.margin rates.
General Motors fell to 36, a loss of 145 points. TheThere are other powers which the SEC may exercise
values represented in the leading stock averages"in the public interest," but by and large the
were cut in half. The Crash wiped out all the gains soregistration procedure, the ban on manipulation, and
spiritedly made since 1924-and more. In 1930 thethe control of credit have been the principal areas of
market twitched feebly, trying to get off its back,government intervention to assure an orderly market.
but eventually sank even lower.At the same time, the exchanges-the New York
In 1931, it hit bottom, plumbing new depths thatStock Exchange in particular-have undertaken to
made even the 1929 lows look good.police themselves more rigorously. Requirements for
A doleful story, a dark chapter in financial history.listing a stock on the Exchange have tightened up.
Even today, veterans of the Street speak of itToday we can also use software to help us predict
wryly and with respect, like the survivors of aprice movements with regard to shares and the
memorable battle or a fire at sea. The market, ofForex.