Is Gold Going to Double in Price Again?

If the so-called 'gold bug', investors who believebars. The idea of owning a little 'hoard' may seem
passionately in the long-term value of buying gold, areattractive, but gold in all its forms is expensive to
right, then this could be a good time to add a littleship, store and insure. Instead you may like to
glitter to your portfolio. Over the last five years theconsider investing in one of the various gold mutual
price of gold has more than doubled from US $250 tofunds. These offer a cost-effective, convenient and
US $574 a troy ounce and it is still nowhere near it'spotentially more lucrative way to benefit from any
all time 1980 high of US $850 a troy ounce. In fact,increase in gold's value.
there are many who believe it could double in priceA good example of what a mutual gold fund has to
AGAIN!offer is the top-performing Merrill Lynch Gold &
Just because gold is cheap now when compared toGeneral Fund which has produced an average
25 years ago doesn't automatically mean that it is aannualised gain of 33.9% over the past five years
good investment. However, there are three soundand which is up around 1000% since its launch in
reasons to believe that prices will continue to soar.1988. The bulk of the UK£855 million fund is
Firstly, the growing economies of Asia and the Middleinvested in gold mining shares. Obviously, gold mining
East have resulted in a huge surge in demand -shares rise in line with the value of gold. Your risk is
especially for gold jewellery. For proof one need lookdiversified and you can leave it up to the fund
no further than global gold jewellery sales, whichmanager to choose the best opportunities. There are
increased by 19% last year.plenty of funds to choose from and you can pick a
Secondly, a rising number of private investors all overfund that matches your own objectives. One fund
the world have been putting some or all of theirmight aim to track the price of gold, for instance,
savings into gold as a hedge against economic oranother to track one of the various market indices
political instability and, in some cases, war. Whensuch as the FTSE mining index.
investors feel the future is uncertain (as manySpeaking of the FTSE mining index, which
appear to at the moment) demand for gold alwaysoutperformed the FTSE all-share index in 2005, if you
surges. This is doubtless in no small part due to thehave plenty of capital at your disposal an alternative
fact that the price of gold tends to move in theoption would be to buy a portfolio of individual mining
opposite direction to virtually all other conventionalcompany shares. On the upside this will give you
asset classes - making it ideal when investors wish togreater control and involvement. On the downside
diversify.you will have to decide which of the hundreds of
Thirdly, the mining industry can't keep up withdifferent mining company shares to buy.
demand. Last year's figures show that in excess ofThere is one further possibility worth considering.
4,000 tonnes of gold were purchased, but only 2,500Invest your money in one of the exchange-traded
tonnes were mined. What's more, production is fallingfunds (ETFs) for gold. An ETF is listed on the stock
by an average of 4% a year and it will take themarket and allows you full exposure to the price of
industry anything up to ten years to increase supplygold, without actually having to take delivery of the
by the required volume. In the past, when demandbullion. The fund buys and holds the gold, while the
outstripped supply, the shortfall was met by many ofinvestor holds ETF shares. The world's biggest ETF is
the world's central banks. No longer. Countries, whichExchange Traded Gold (marketed under different
had been disposing of their gold reserves, havenames) which holds 431 tonnes of the yellow metal.
slowed down sales or even stopped selling altogether.This is more than the Bank of England's reserves.
Some central banks, notably those of Russia, IranOne of the most senior industry experts in the
and China, are actually believed to be buying bullion.world, Robert McEwen of U.S. Gold, was recently
Although I believe that gold prices are likely to carryreported as predicting that gold prices may reach
on moving upward, I would only suggest buying ifUS$2,000 an ounce by 2010. If he is right, you could
you already have a range of other investmentsbe kicking yourself for not getting into the market
including shares, bonds and property. Furthermore, Iwhilst prices are still relatively low.
wouldn't necessarily advise buying gold coins or gold