How To View Stock Market Formulas Professionally

A famous Wall Street story concerns a young manelement of caution in your investing when caution
who was in the early stages of learning to be aseems advisable, they reduce the provision for
professional speculator. He had a problem, so hecaution when risks seem relatively low, and permit
went for advice to an elderly sage noted for hisyou to benefit from rising prices for common stocks.
shrewd investment judgment. The fact was, theMoreover, once you incorporate a formula into your
young man said, that he had taken on quite aninvestment program, it works more or less
extensive line of stocks, but the market looked highautomatically, thus allowing you to sleep nights in the
- maybe too high - he thought possibly his positionknowledge that you are continuously hedging against
carried with it too many risks, and wondered if hevarious possibilities.
shouldn't perhaps sell. He was so worried about this,But just as the investment sage left it up to the
he said, that he couldn't sleep nights.young man to decide exactly what the "sleeping
The old man's counsel was simple and direct: "Sell," hepoint" might be in his particular case, you can select a
said. "Sell back to the sleeping point."formula appropriate to your own temperament,
Although there is no doubt that this advice smacksfinancial circumstances and proclivity to insomnia. As
of imprecision, there is a good bit of wisdom in it. Wewill be made clear in later pages of this book, any of
may fairly assume that neither the young man nor histhe formulas can be adjusted to suit the needs and
adviser knew for sure which way the market waspreferences of any investor.
going, but both were aware that the market wasAlthough formulas are designed to give unhedged and
sufficiently shaky to cause legitimate worry.unambiguous indications for action, the investor
Translated into somewhat more orthodoxshould not feel that he is therefore giving up all
investment terms, the advice meant: "Sell enough ofpersonal control over his investments when he
your stocks so that a market collapse won't destroyadopts a formula, since he selects it himself to fit his
you, but keep enough so that if your fears turn outown requirements. A formula does not try to tell you
to be groundless, and the market rises, you'll stillwhat to do - it merely helps you do what you are
profit to some extent; in the meantime, get somealready doing more profitably.
sleep."For example, formulas cannot tell you which stocks
At first glance, it may seem cynical on the old man'sto buy. This book assumes that anyone interested in
part not to outline for his protege an exact andformulas is already a relatively sophisticated investor
detailed course of action. But he could not honestlyand knows what kind of stocks he wants to buy,
guarantee that he knew exactly what action mighthow to select them and where to go for advice in
turn out to be best. Furthermore, the young manhis particular areas of interest. But - by supplementing
didn't want someone to tell him precisely what to do.his knowledge of which securities with considerations
All he wanted was some help in easing the pressureof the equally important questions of when to own
at a critical point, and the help he got seemsthem and in what quantity - formulas can supply a
eminently sensible.valuable added dimension to his investment results
In a real sense, the investment formulas are designedand help put the management of his portfolio on a
to help you in the same way that the old man'smore professional level.
advice helped his young friend - they inject an