South Florida Real Estate Bubble - Fact or Fiction?

There is no question that the red hot south Floridasensational articles that that they produce without
real estate market is seeing signs of cooling, but thetaking all factors into account. It is easy to publish an
idea that there is a bubble in the market isarticle bashing the real estate market, but it is not so
exaggerated. The bubble talk has been created to aeasy to undo the damage they cause. Some articles
large degree by the media with irresponsible reportingcompare the MLS active and closed sales statistics
and lack of in depth research. There have beenfrom the month of January 2004 to the month of
numerous articles written that may only use one orJanuary 2005. That makes it very easy for the
two sources to gather information, and the rest isreporter to create a large disparity in the number of
pure speculation from a reporter with zerocondos or homes sold or on the market in 2004
knowledge of the real estate market. Most of thesecompared to the numbers sold for the same month
reporters have probably never been involved in anyin 2005. Once again, this boils down to irresponsible
type of real estate transaction in their lives. Therereporting.Another factor not being taken into account
are many factors that need to be considered beforeis the recent trend of developer run resale programs.
making any kind of speculative opinions on the SouthThese resale programs take place when a condo
Florida real estate market.A recent article in the Miamiproject is sold out and under construction and the
Herald said existing home sales plunged in Southdeveloper begins to resell the condo units that had
Florida as the real estate market continued to shiftbeen pre sold one or two years earlier. These resales
from go-go to so-so. Nowhere in the article did itare not public record until they close and thus are not
mention that we had experienced a major hurricanefactored in to the overall numbers of South Florida
in October that brought all business to a stand still forreal estate that has been sold. Due to the fact that
nearly a month. Many real estate transactions thatthese types of resale programs are relatively new
were set to close were delayed for weeks or(within the last two years or so) most of these sales
months and some probably did not happen at all. Ifhave not been recorded in the public record.
there is a gap like that in the real estate cycle forDeveloper condo resale programs are a very good
close to a month, the affects do not show up until athing for a couple of reasons. One, it weeds out
few months down the road, which would be roughlyinvestors that would otherwise have to wait until
the month of January. So it is no wonder real estateclosing to sell their condo and cause a flood of units
sales were down for that month. Reporters andon the market. Two, and probably more important, is
editors should be held somewhat accountable for thethat pricing is controlled to a large degree.