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South Florida Real Estate Bubble - Fact or Fiction?

There is no question that the red hot that that they produce without taking all
south Florida real estate market is factors into account. It is easy to
seeing signs of cooling, but the idea publish an article bashing the real
that there is a bubble in the market is estate market, but it is not so easy to
exaggerated. The bubble talk has been undo the damage they cause. Some
created to a large degree by the media articles compare the MLS active and
with irresponsible reporting and lack of closed sales statistics from the month of
in depth research. There have been January 2004 to the month of January
numerous articles written that may only 2005. That makes it very easy for the
use one or two sources to gather reporter to create a large disparity in
information, and the rest is pure the number of condos or homes sold or on
speculation from a reporter with zero the market in 2004 compared to the
knowledge of the real estate market. numbers sold for the same month in 2005.
Most of these reporters have probably Once again, this boils down to
never been involved in any type of real irresponsible reporting.Another factor
estate transaction in their lives. not being taken into account is the
There are many factors that need to be recent trend of developer run resale
considered before making any kind of programs. These resale programs take
speculative opinions on the South Florida place when a condo project is sold out
real estate market.A recent article in and under construction and the developer
the Miami Herald said existing home sales begins to resell the condo units that had
plunged in South Florida as the real been pre sold one or two years earlier.
estate market continued to shift from These resales are not public record until
go-go to so-so. Nowhere in the article they close and thus are not factored in
did it mention that we had experienced a to the overall numbers of South Florida
major hurricane in October that brought real estate that has been sold. Due to
all business to a stand still for nearly the fact that these types of resale
a month. Many real estate transactions programs are relatively new (within the
that were set to close were delayed for last two years or so) most of these sales
weeks or months and some probably did not have not been recorded in the public
happen at all. If there is a gap like record. Developer condo resale programs
that in the real estate cycle for close are a very good thing for a couple of
to a month, the affects do not show up reasons. One, it weeds out investors
until a few months down the road, which that would otherwise have to wait until
would be roughly the month of January. closing to sell their condo and cause a
So it is no wonder real estate sales were flood of units on the market. Two, and
down for that month. Reporters and probably more important, is that pricing
editors should be held somewhat is controlled to a large degree.
accountable for the sensational articles




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